Press Release

STAMFORD, Conn., August 2, 2017 View All Press Releases

Gartner Says Worldwide Semiconductor Capital Spending Is Forecast to Grow 10.2 Percent in 2017

Worldwide semiconductor capital spending is projected to increase 10.2 percent in 2017, to $77.7 billion, according to Gartner, Inc. This growth rate is up from the previous quarter's forecast of 1.4 percent, due to continued aggressive investment in memory and leading-edge logic which is driving spending in wafer-level equipment (see Table 1).

"Spending momentum is more concentrated in 2017 mainly due to strong manufacturing demand in memory and leading-edge logic. The NAND flash shortage was more pronounced in the first quarter of 2017 than the previous forecast, leading to over 20 percent growth of etch and chemical vapor deposition (CVD) segments in 2017 with a strong capacity ramp-up for 3D NAND," said Takashi Ogawa, research vice president at Gartner.

According to Gartner's latest view, the next cyclical down cycle will emerge in 2018 to 2019 in capital spending, compared with 2019 to 2020 in the previous quarter's forecast. "Spending on wafer fab equipment will follow a similar cycle with a peak in 2018. While the most likely scenario will still keep positive growth in 2018, there is a concern that the growth will turn negative if the end-user demand in key electronics applications is weaker than expected," said Mr. Ogawa.

Table 1: Worldwide Semiconductor Capital Spending and Equipment Spending Forecast, 2016-2020
(Millions of Dollars)

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Semiconductor Capital Spending

 

70,568.9

 

77,794.5

 

77,443.5

 

71,814.8

 

73,239.5

Growth (%)

9.1

10.2

-0.5

-7.3

2.0

Wafer Fab Equipment, Including Wafer-Level Packaging

 

37,033.1

 

43,661.0

 

43,690.4

 

40,515.8

 

41,342.7

Growth (%)

11.4

17.9

0.1

-7.3

2.0

Other Semiconductor Capital Spending

 

33,535.8

 

34,133.5

 

33,753.2

 

31,299.0

 

31,896.8

Growth (%)

6.8

1.8

-1.1

-7.2

1.9

Source: Gartner (July 2017)

This research is produced by Gartner's Semiconductor Manufacturing program. This research program, which is part of the overall semiconductor research group, provides a comprehensive view of the entire semiconductor industry, from manufacturing to device and application market trends. Gartner clients can see more in "Forecast Analysis: Semiconductor Capital Spending and Manufacturing Equipment, Worldwide, 2Q17 Update."

Contacts
About Gartner

Gartner, Inc. (NYSE: IT), is the world's leading research and advisory company and a member of the S&P 500. We equip business leaders with indispensable insights, advice and tools to achieve their mission-critical priorities and build the successful organizations of tomorrow.

Our unmatched combination of expert-led, practitioner-sourced and data-driven research steers clients toward the right decisions on the issues that matter most. We're trusted as an objective resource and critical partner by more than 15,000 organizations in more than 100 countries—across all major functions, in every industry and enterprise size.

To learn more about how we help decision makers fuel the future of business, visit www.gartner.com.

Comments or opinions expressed on this blog are those of the individual contributors only, and do not necessarily represent the views of Gartner, Inc. or its management. Readers may copy and redistribute blog postings on other blogs, or otherwise for private, non-commercial or journalistic purposes. This content may not be used for any other purposes in any other formats or media. The content on this blog is provided on an "as-is" basis. Gartner shall not be liable for any damages whatsoever arising out of the content or use of this blog.