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EGHAM, U.K., December 4, 2019

Gartner Forecasts Global IoT Enterprise Drone Shipments to Grow 50% in 2020

Construction Monitoring Is the Largest Use Case by Shipments Worldwide

In 2020, worldwide shipments of Internet of Things (IoT) enterprise drones (defined as flying drones) will total 526,000 units, an increase of 50% from 2019, according to Gartner, Inc. Global shipments are forecast to reach 1.3 million units by 2023.

“The construction sector is an early adopter of drones, which causes construction monitoring to be the largest use case by shipments worldwide across the forecast,” said Kay Sharpington, principal analyst at Gartner. “Shipments are estimated to reach 210,000 drones in 2020, and more than double by 2023. Drones are taking over tasks such as site surveying and earthworks management as they are faster and safer to carry out with a drone than on foot.”

To save costs when surveying sites, the number of global construction employees per drone will decrease from 2,400 to 640 between 2018 and 2020.

In the short term, most use cases will be based around surveillance and monitoring due to the technical complexity of other applications. In 2020, the second and third use cases by drone shipments will be fire services monitoring and insurance investigation (see Table 1).

Table 1: Top 5 IoT Enterprise Drone Use Cases by Shipments, Worldwide, 2019-2023 (Thousands of Endpoints)

Use Case

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

Construction monitoring

141.1

209.8

294.2

394.3

509.5

Fire services monitoring

32.7

48.5

58.2

63.7

67.0

Insurance investigation

31.8

46.4

67.2

96.3

135.8

Police evidence gathering

26.8

45.1

60.4

72.0

80.7

Retail fulfillment

12.9

24.9

44.4

75.1

122.0

Other use cases

106.2

150.8

206.5

275.3

356.5

Total

351.5

525.6

730.9

976.7

1,271.6

Notes: Gartner forecasts enterprise drones in over 25 use cases in its Internet of Things Forecast database. Totals may not sum due to rounding.

Source: Gartner (December 2019)

Insurance Industry to Rapidly Adopt Drones to Carry Out Surveying

The insurance industry is the second largest use case by shipments with 46,000 drone shipments forecast for 2020. Shipments are expected to nearly triple by 2023, to reach 136,000 that year. “Drones are used to carry out inspections on buildings and structures after a claim has been made, to assess the extent and cause of the damage. They can also be used to evaluate the type and condition of the building when providing an insurance quote,” said Ms. Sharpington. “Their benefits are valuable. For example, they reduce the cost of scaffolding, ladders and employee time and provide a comprehensive photographic record of the building condition.”

To survey claim areas at a lower cost, Gartner expects insurance drones will grow from one per 152,000 people in 2018 to one per 72,000 people worldwide in 2020.

Government Institutions are Using Drones to Increase Safety

Police and firefighting agencies globally are deploying drones in public safety operations, wildfire management, crime scene investigation, and search and rescue operations. Gartner estimates that the number of drones used by police and firefighters will grow from one per 210,000 people to one per 47,000 people between 2018 and 2020.

“Fire service drones use cameras and thermal imaging to identify fire sources, extreme heat areas, trapped people and the positions of firefighters in the field,” said Ms. Sharpington. “Consequently, firefighting agencies can deploy resources in the right areas in emergencies and investigate incidents while minimizing risk to lives.”

Adoption of Drones in the Retail Sector to Rise Rapidly After 2023

Drones used for retail deliveries will provide customers with rapid service and allow retailers access to customers in remote areas. However, the regulatory restrictions and logistical challenge of coordinating flight paths, managing airspace over densely populated areas and managing various payloads means that retail, overall, is a longer-term opportunity for drones.

Drone shipments will total 25,000 in 2020 and will rise to 122,000 units in 2023. Following this predicted trajectory, the biggest opportunity for retail will come after 2023. In addition, Gartner estimates that the number of employees per drone will decrease from 73,000 global retail employees per drone in 2018 to 18,000 global retail employees per drone in 2020.

Gartner clients can learn more in the report “Forecast Analysis: IoT Enterprise Drone Shipments, Worldwide.”

About Gartner

Gartner, Inc. (NYSE: IT) is the world’s leading research and advisory company and a member of the S&P 500. We equip business leaders with indispensable insights, advice and tools to achieve their mission-critical priorities today and build the successful organizations of tomorrow.

Our unmatched combination of expert-led, practitioner-sourced and data-driven research steers clients toward the right decisions on the issues that matter most. We are a trusted advisor and an objective resource for more than 14,000 enterprises in more than 100 countries — across all major functions, in every industry and enterprise size.

To learn more about how we help decision makers fuel the future of business, visit gartner.com.

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